Since the beginning of the term of Donald Trump, not a day is unfolding without political rebound, and past weeks have not deviated from the rule. Within a few days, the Senate rejected once again the repeal of the health system set up under Barack Obama, a flagship promise of candidate Trump; His spokesman, Sean Spicer, resigned; His replacement, Anthony Scaramucci, was violently attacked by the chief of staff, White House chief Reince Priebus, and presidential adviser Steve Bannon. In the wake, Reince Priebus was replaced by General John Kelly.
A permanent chaos
Has such a disorder already existed in the White House? “The beginnings of the first Clinton administration in 1993 were equally chaotic,” says Corentin Sellin, an associate professor of history and a specialist in American politics. Former Arkansas governor Bill Clinton had not been in Washington for years and Did not control the cogs of power. ” The presidential administration is then disorderly, and Bill Clinton drops quickly in the polls. “But the first chief of staff of Bill Clinton, his childhood friend Mark McLarty, left after eighteen months, against Reince Priebus only six months, Corentin Sellin points out. Especially chaos reigns in the House -Blanche since the beginning with Donald Trump: from February,
Donald Trump, free electron
Faithful to the riotous campaign that succeeded, the American president maintains a single guideline: he refuses any constraint. To replace Reince Priebus and Sean Spicer, both Republican Party executives, Donald Trump preferred very different profiles. The explosive Anthony Scaramucci, ex-businessman, is a clone of his boss. Speaking without a filter to journalists, he threatened to dismiss all the presidential staff to stop the leaks, swear and grossly insult his colleagues. John Kelly, is “the good student,” says the specialist of the United States. “When he was Secretary of Homeland Security, he defended Jared Kushner (son-in-law and adviser to the president, involved in business with Russia ),
If ObamaCare is hurting people, & it is, why shouldn't it hurt the insurance companies & why should Congress not be paying what public pays?
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 31, 2017
Already cut off from his majority, against which he vituperates on Twitter, Donald Trump is likely to worsen the break with the Republican Party. “Priebus as Spicer had been taken as a pledge of fidelity to the party.” Reince Priebus, in particular, was the tie with the Republicans, “says Corinne Sellin, chairman of the Republican National Committee during the 2016 campaign, and is a friend of Paul Ryan, The Speaker of the House of Representatives. ”
A virtual president?
As a result of this break, “Donald Trump’s legislative record is virtually nil after six months,” says Corinne Sellin, despite a Republican majority in both the Senate and the House of Representatives. “Few laws have been signed, and no major.” He has a big activism on the presidential decrees, but these are by definition limited in scope, adds the specialist. Congress is left to itself, as on the Obamacare, where no precise directives were laid down. Were they intended to have a total or partial repeal?
Read also: Obamacare: Republicans still fail to pass reform
Does Donald Trump really work? The query is real, says the specialist of the United States: “We have a president who tweets in his corner, but who has no hold on the real, virtualizing.” Visibly more interested in golf , to which he regularly devotes himself, than to the workings of the American political system, Donald Trump is reluctant to direct his majority. In addition, nearly 60 per cent of the senior civil service positions remains unoccupied, as Donald Trump has not yet proposed names to be validated in the Senate.
Strong support from its electoral base
Isolated, Trump nevertheless has strengths. “Most Republican politicians remain loyal,” said Corentin Sellin, ” if Trump is a policeman in the polls,” he said, ” and the elected representatives have the mid-term elections in mind as early as 2018, Where they could face trumpist candidates in case of dissent. ”
Finally, an agreement could be found between the president and the Republican elected representatives on a major political issue, tax reforms. “It seems that the White House has worked upstream, with the main lines of the tax cuts defined in agreement with the Congress,” Corentin Sellin believes. To finally get out of the mess.